Manish Goel

Manish Goel - SEBI Registered Research Analyst

About Manish Goel

SEBI Registered Research Analyst • Chartered Accountant

377 Articles Published

Manish Goel is a Chartered Accountant, SEBI Registered Research Analyst, and founder of Manish Goel PMS. A full-time value investor since 2010, he has helped thousands of investors build long-term wealth through quality stock picking and disciplined fundamental analysis.

May 4, 2026
Header with the title 'The Gambler’s Fallacy and Hot-Hand Fallacy' and a four-panel color infographic showing Lucky, Confused, DISCIPLINED INVESTOR, and BIAS-TRAPPED beneath it.

The Gambler’s Fallacy and Hot-Hand Fallacy: Tversky, Kahneman & Gilovich on the Misperception of Random Sequences

Tversky-Kahneman 1971 and Gilovich-Vallone-Tversky 1985 established that humans systematically misread short random sequences. Indian NSE/SEBI behavioural data show retail investors compound the error. A counter-measure checklist plus an illustrative Titan Biotech FY25 case study of process-over-pattern corporate behaviour.
May 4, 2026
Infographic bar chart titled PEG Ratio: Growth-Adjusted Valuation by year, showing FY20 38 down to FY25 16, with FY25 bar highlighted in green.

PEG Ratio: Peter Lynch’s Growth-Adjusted Valuation Framework

Peter Lynch's Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth ratio reframes valuation: a high P/E may be cheap if growth is high, a low P/E may be a trap if growth is fading. Using Titan Biotech FY25 audited inputs (10-yr revenue CAGR ~15%, 10-yr PAT CAGR ~29%, CFO/Operating Profit ~103%) as a clean educational illustration.
May 4, 2026
Hero header announcing Walter Schloss’s 16 Factors with a two-by-two grid of panels labeled Trader, Compounder, Drift, and Speculator.

Walter Schloss’s 16 Factors: How Graham’s Quietest Disciple Beat the Market for 47 Years Without Ever Meeting Management

Walter Schloss compounded 16% for 47 years from a back office, with no MBA, no Bloomberg terminal, and no management visits. Seven of his 16 factors illustrated through Titan Biotech FY25's audited balance sheet.
May 3, 2026
Hero section with title 'Outside View vs Inside View' and subtitle; below is a 2x2 color grid labeled: top-left 'Lucky', top-right 'Discipined Investor', bottom-left 'Confused', bottom-right 'Bias-Trapped'.

Outside View vs Inside View: Kahneman & Lovallo’s Reference-Class Forecasting Discipline

Daniel Kahneman and Dan Lovallo's 1993 distinction between the Inside View (story-driven) and the Outside View (reference-class base rates) is the most powerful behavioural upgrade an Indian long-term investor can make. We illustrate it with Titan Biotech's FY25 audited numbers, presented strictly as an educational case study of management process — not a valuation call.
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