Manish Goel

Manish Goel - SEBI Registered Research Analyst

About Manish Goel

SEBI Registered Research Analyst • Chartered Accountant

377 Articles Published

Manish Goel is a Chartered Accountant, SEBI Registered Research Analyst, and founder of Manish Goel PMS. A full-time value investor since 2010, he has helped thousands of investors build long-term wealth through quality stock picking and disciplined fundamental analysis.

May 6, 2026
Hero layout on dark blue background with title 'The Inevitable' and subtitle; below is a 2x2 color grid: top-left gray block labeled 'Trader', top-right green block labeled 'COMPOUNDER', bottom-left light gray block labeled 'Drift', bottom-right orange block labeled 'Speculator'

The Inevitables: Warren Buffett’s 1996 Letter Three-Tier Test of Business Predictability

Warren Buffett's 1996 letter framework classifies businesses into Inevitables, Highly Probables and Hopefuls. Most Indian retail portfolios mistake tier three for tier one. Titan Biotech FY25's audited numbers read as a Highly Probable profile.
May 5, 2026
Hero section with title 'The Illusion of Control' and subtitle, plus a 2x2 color grid labeling Lucky, Disciplined Investor, Confused, and Bias-Trapped in teal, green, gray, and orange blocks.

The Illusion of Control: Ellen Langer’s 1975 Cognitive Bias That Powers ₹1.81 Lakh Crore of Indian F&O Losses

Ellen Langer's 1975 illusion-of-control experiments explain why 91.1% of Indian F&O traders lose money — and the 8-point counter-measure checklist serious long-term investors must install. Titan Biotech FY25's ₹3 Cr borrowings, 103% CFO/Operating Profit, and 36.4% independent-board ratio illustrate the corporate analogue of the anti-bias discipline (educational case study, not a valuation call).
May 5, 2026
Dark blue page with a title 'Other Income as a Percentage of' and subtitle 'The 30-Second Forensic Earnings-Quality Filter'; a horizontal bar chart shows yearly values: FY20 3.2%, FY21 2.8%, FY22 2.1%, FY23 1.6%, FY24 1.3%, FY25 1.1% (green bar).

Other Income as a Percentage of PBT: The 30-Second Forensic Earnings-Quality Filter

A long-form educational deep-dive on Other Income as a percentage of Profit Before Tax — the 30-second forensic earnings-quality filter that separates real Indian operating businesses from non-operating bookkeepers. Illustrated using Titan Biotech FY25 audited disclosures (operating-led ~₹214 Cr revenue, ~18-22% EBITDA margin, CFO/Operating Profit at ~103%, total borrowings ₹3 Cr) as a positive educational example. Educational content only — not a buy/sell recommendation.
May 5, 2026
Dark blue page with title 'Economic Goodwill' and green subtitle; below is a two-by-two color block diagram: top-left 'Trader' (gray), top-right 'COMPOUNDER' (green), bottom-left 'Drift' (light gray), bottom-right 'Speculator' (orange).

Economic Goodwill: Warren Buffett’s 1983 Berkshire Letter Appendix on the Real Source of Compounding

Buffett's 1983 appendix split goodwill into two: the accountant's residual on the balance sheet, and the inflation-resistant economic goodwill that compounds wealth. Titan Biotech FY25's high returns on a modest tangible base read like the second.
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