August 14, 2016 (Sunday)
One of the common questions which Investors ask from me is whether this is right time to invest or they should wait for a correction to enter the marketsā¦.. In my view, this question is irrelevant for long term Fundamental investorsā¦. It is foolish to wait for correction or to time the market to enter in stock marketā¦.. Best approach is to keep on investing in quality stocks whenever you get fundsā¦. Equity is the best performing asset class in india in last 25 years beating all other asset class ā¦..In his best selling book āThe Intelligent Investorā, Benjamin Graham also said that investors should not try to time the market and instead keep on putting money in fundamentally strong undervalued stocksā¦. I will give you an example why you should do thisā¦.. Suppose I tell you one stock of 100 Rs which in my view will double in one year to 200 Rsā¦.. Now your question is whether you should invest right now or wait for a correctionā¦. This mindset is dangerous in stock market because of two reasonsā¦.. First reason is that no one can predict the market direction in short termā¦.. and secondly suppose even if your prediction of market correction becomes true and the stock becomes available at Rs 90ā¦.. So you got benefit of 10% by investing at 90 instead of 100ā¦. But suppose your prediction of market correction does not come true and stock goes up from 100 instead of coming down, then you will miss that 100% rise which I predicted on the basis of sound fundamentalsā¦.. So in your effort to save 10%, you can miss profit of 100%ā¦.. So risk reward ratio of that mindset of āwaiting for correctionā is heavily against youā¦. In that mindset, chances of losing opportunity profit are much more than chances of gaining from a correctionā¦.. So if you get one Multibagger stock from somewhere, put your money for 2-3 years in it without worrying about short term movements of priceā¦. You can try to understand my above point through a very practical example alsoā¦. 4 out of my 8 stocks multiplied 15-30 times in last 4 yearsā¦. And interesting thing about those 4 stocks is that not one of those four 15-30 baggers came down even 10% after my buy callā¦.. So If I also thought of waiting for a correction to enter in those 4 stocks, I would have missed 3,000% profits which came to me in next 4 yearsā¦.. I think that the point which I am trying to make is clear to investors.

Happy Investing !!
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